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Showing posts with the label Moldova

Moldova: Election maths

Preliminary Analysis of last Wednesday's Moldovan election highlights some of the issues with the D'Hondt System particularity when it involves a representation threshold. Comparison between the April election and the July election shows a consolidation of votes with fewer minor parties running for election. In April there were 12 parties plus independents. In July only 8 parties contested the election with The Green party being the only new constant. The consolidation of the vote and reduction in the number of disenfranchised voters has a significant effect on the outcome of the election. In April, Four political parties received sufficient votes to cross the 7% representative threshold, together they represented 84.8% of the total vote. The other minor parties collectively represented the balance of 15.2% In July, Five political parties representing 95.8% crossed the new representation threshold of 5% and 4.2% were denied representation - a shift of 11% Statistically in a r...

Moldova: 4.72% Swing against the Communist Party in re-run election

The ruling Communist Party of Moldova, with 98% of the vote counted, is showing a swing of less then 5% down from 49.48% to 44.76% in the re-run election Statistically in any re-run ballot there is a 4% to 6% swing against the government, Moldova is proving no exception. It also raises questions as to the likely result on the second round of Ukraine's 2004 presidential ballot. Viktor Yushchenko, following the re-run presidential election, won 52% of the vote indicating that he had really only won 48% of the second round ballot. Source: alegeri.md Table updated: 4 August 2009 (Final Results) Party % Vote Swing Seats Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova 44.69% -4.79% 48 Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova 16.57% 4.14% 18 Liberal Party 14.68% 1.55% 15 Democratic Party of Moldova 12.54% 9.57% 13 “Moldova Noastra (Our Moldova)” Alliance 7.35% -2.42% 7 Christian Democr...

Transdnestr separatists a cause for concern as division of language and ethnicity continue knocking at Ukraine door

In what is shaping up to be another hot spot. The residents of Moldova's Transdnestr region Sunday votes overwhelming for succession and independence from Moldova. Whilst the World Government's refuse to recognise the ballot the fact still remains that a large section of Moldova's population does not wish to remain under Moldovan rule. The President of Ukraine also has rejected the referendum as being valid. There is no quick solution to this problem. Ukraine also faces the potential of separatist movements building momentum if divisions are not resolved. The election of Party of Region's Viktor Yanakovich as Prime Minister has dampened for the time being calls for Ukraine to divide into a lose federation of autonomous republics. Crimea is already an autonomous republic and there and those that recommend the creation of additional autonomous regions. The Hungarian community on Western Ukraine, carved off from Hungary as party of the divisions following the collapse of t...