Photographs - Crimea

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Huntington theory: Shift in power

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The Moscow Times has a brief, yet interesting, summary  of the potential outcome of Sunday's Ukrainian Presidential election. It glosses over the shift on power and the balances that will remain, in the short term at least. It does make a strong point in its closing paragraph ... whoever wins will likely change Ukraine’s constitution, which as currently constructed virtually guarantees perpetual conflicts between the president and prime minister. Experts generally agree that a presidential system is worse than a parliamentary one, but they also agree that a mixed presidential-parliamentary system such as Ukraine’s is by far the worst. The best option would be for Ukraine to adopt a full parliamentary model in line with other European States. The question is who will undertake this challenge and sacrifice presidential power and authority for the sake of the nation.  The answer to this question is the person who should be elected president  
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Yushchenko's undemocratic Constitutional reform

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Based on analysis of the first round presidential vote held on January 17. Yulia Tymoshenko was the highest polling candidate in 15 Oblasts/regions including Kyiv Metro region with 4.8 Million votes Viktor Yanukovych was the highest polling candidate in 11 Oblasts/regions including Svestopol with a total of 6.8 million votes. Oblasts and regions are not equal in size or the number of constituents. The smallest region has less then 500,000 voters and the largest over 3 million.    Under Yushchenko's proposed Senate Tymoshenko (not including the additional senator representing Ukrainians abroad and the ex-offico ex-presidents' seats for life) would have elected 45 Senators (3 senators per region) and Yanukovych who had 1.4 times Tymoshenko's vote would have elected only 33 Senators. The remaining 12 million (over 50%) constituents would have been unrepresented.
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Poll: Liittle movement 30 days before election

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Research and Branding have published their December poll . This survey was a sample rate of 3,083 respondents with an estimated margin for error of 1.8% Candidate Dec Nov Oct Monthly Swing V. Yanukovich 33.40% 32.40% 31.40% 1.0% Y. Timoshenko 16.60% 16.30% 18.40% 0.3% S.Tigipko 7.40% 4.40% 3.60% 3.0% A. Yatsenyuk 6.70% 6.10% 8.90% 0.6% V. Litvin 4.10% 4.50% 2.30% -0.4% V. Yuschenko 3.80% 3.50% 3.50% 0.3% P. Simonenko 3.40% 3.80% 3.50% -0.4% Others Against All Undecided Will not vote 75.40% 71.00% 71.60% Run-Off Ballot Candidate Dec V. Yanukovich 46.70% Y. Timoshenko 30.00% Against All 13.20% Undeci...
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