Tuesday, January 17, 2006

Poll - Razumkov Center

Jan, 2006 www.angus-reid.com

Link http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/index.cfm/fuseaction/viewItem/itemID/10836
Source Razumkov Center
Date January, 2006
Name of the party or electoral bloc
PR Party of Regions (PR)
NS-NU Bloc 'Our Ukraine' (NS-NU)
BYuT Yuliya Tymoshenko Bloc (BYuT)
KPU Communist Party of Ukraine (KPU)
SPU Socialist Party of Ukraine (SPU)
LPB Lytvyn's People's Bloc (LPB)
NVB Nataliya Vitrenko Bloc 'People's Opposition' (NVB)
CBP Civil Bloc PORA-PRP' (CBP)
UPBKP Ukrainian People's Bloc of Kostenko and Plyusch
OBNY Oppositional bloc NOT YES! (OBNY)
Party Block Poll% Vote% Seats% No of Seats
PR 24.70% 35.59% 36.98% 166
NS-NU 15.40% 22.19% 23.05% 104
BYuT 12.00% 17.29% 17.96% 81
KPU 4.60% 6.63% 6.89% 31
SPU 4.60% 6.63% 6.89% 31
LPB 3.00% 4.32% 4.49% 20
NVB 2.50% 3.60% 3.74% 17
CBP 1.10% 1.59% 0.00%  
UPBKP 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
OBNY 1.50% 2.16% 0.00%  
Others 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Sum 69.40% 100.00% 100.00% 450
Balance 30.60%
Summary 100.00%      

Please Note: The poll has a high undisclosed balance of 36.6% indicating that this opoll is far from conclusive. If this balance is infact allocated to minor Parties then the NVB and LPB Bloc's would not achieve the minimum 3% requirement, in which case their allocated 37 seats would be redistributed and the extent of wasted/disenfranchised vote would exceed 36.1%. Ideally the poll should publish more information as to the outstanding balance and if the nominated percentage is the percentage of voters who will be casting a valid vote or it is a percentage of those polled.

Additional information that would assist in the analysis of the vote would be a copy of the questions asked and geopoltical statisical data (ie a breaks down of the number of respondents from each oblast)Without this information each poll is like comparing apples with oranges. With the quailty of each orchard grove varing significantly in output.