Friday, December 18, 2009

Poll: Liittle movement 30 days before election

Research and Branding have published their December poll.

This survey was a sample rate of 3,083 respondents with an estimated margin for error of 1.8%


Candidate
Dec
Nov
Oct
Monthly Swing
V. Yanukovich
33.40%
32.40%
31.40%
1.0%
Y. Timoshenko
16.60%
16.30%
18.40%
0.3%
S.Tigipko
7.40%
4.40%
3.60%
3.0%
A. Yatsenyuk
6.70%
6.10%
8.90%
0.6%
V. Litvin
4.10%
4.50%
2.30%
-0.4%
V. Yuschenko
3.80%
3.50%
3.50%
0.3%
P. Simonenko
3.40%
3.80%
3.50%
-0.4%
Others





Against All




Undecided




Will not vote





75.40%
71.00%
71.60%


Run-Off Ballot

Candidate
Dec
V. Yanukovich
46.70%
Y. Timoshenko
30.00%
Against All
13.20%
Undecided
6.50%
Will not vote
3.60%

100.00%

Voter Participation


Will certainly vote
65.80%
67.00%
55.90%
Will most likely vote
22.00%
19.70%
24.60%
Have not decided yet
7.80%
7.80%
10.10%
Will most unlikely vote
1.60%
2.70%
3.70%
Will certainly not vote
2.80%
2.80%
5.70%

This poll indicates a consolidation of votes (as expected) with the number of undecided decreasing. The participation rate of 87.8% if relatively high. With less then 30 days to go until the first ballot little change is expected in the outcome of the election.

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