Monday, August 24, 2009

Yushchenko slumps to 2%

Ukraine's president, Viktor Yushchenko has slumped to a low 2.0% according to the Research and Branding Group's most recent opinion poll.

The poll taken between August 4 and August 14 spanning the period where Russian President Dmitry Medvedev delivered a scathing criticism of Ukraine's embattled president showed a further marginal decline in Yushchenko's support and influence (Not that it can get much lower then 2%).

Research and Branding Group's polls show a high voter participation rate. The percentage of those polled that say they will either vote against all or not at all during the second round of voting is very high and raises a troublesome question, "What happens if the winning second round candidate does not receive an absolute majority of votes (50% or more)?"

At a cost of over 1.5 billion hrivina Ukraine may very well wish it had adopted a parliamentary collegiate system of electing its head of state.

Candidate Party 2004 Presidential election Research & Branding Group Research & Branding Group Research & Branding Group
Date from 31-Oct-04 01-Apr-09 12-Jun-09 04-Aug-09
Date To 26-Dec-04 09-Apr-09 22-Jun-09 14-Aug-09
Link [0] *** [1] ** [2] ** [3] **
Viktor Yanukovych PoR 39.3 44.2 27.9 38.4 26.8 38.8 26.0 39.6
Yulia Tymoshenko BYuT

15.6 29.3 15.8 28.8 16.5 28.0
Arseniy Yatsenyuk Y-Front

13.4
12.3
12.6
Petro Symonenko CPU 5.0
3.8
3.5
4.5
Viktor Yushchenko OU 39.9 52.0 1.9
2.1
2.0
Volodymyr Lytvyn BL

5.5
3.9
4.2
Inna Bohoslovska




3.0


Leonid Kuchma


2.0




Oleksandr Moroz SPU 5.8






Others <2%
8.0
4.9
6.2
7.3
Against all
2.0 3.8 9.0 19.0 8.0 16.6 9.9 19.0
Not going to vote


8.6 8.3 8.9 9.0 6.6 6.8
Not sure


7.4 5.0 9.5 6.8 10.4 6.6
sum 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
** Notional second round
*** Final results

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