Saturday, June 27, 2009

Yanukovych on track to become Ukraine's next President

Ukraine's two round Presidential election will cost over 100 million dollars per round in direct costs and a further 150 million in campaign costs A total cost of around 500 Million dollars for the two rounds. And what will they get for it? A failed President.

Recent opinion polls indicate that Viktor Yanukovych (PoR 34.7%) will be in poll position and progress to the second round. Yulia Tymoshenko (BYuT 21.5%) is the most likely other candidate being 4 percentage points ahead of Arseniy Yatseniuk (Y-Front 27.6%).

Ukraine's embattled President, Vikitor Yushchenko, has less then 4% support and will not be a serious contender. Yuschenko is what is referred to as a "Spoiler Candidate". Yuschenko's candidacy will be the difference between Yulia and Arseniy.

Ukraine needs to scrap the two round system and adopt a single round Preferential ballot. Same result at half the cost - Results of the elections known in days as opposed to months. 100's of Millions of dollars. Money that Ukraine can use for hospitals and education

Sadly the pool did not ask voters who their second preference would go to or who they would vote for in a second round ballot. Simple assumptions indicate a Yanukovych win. Already there is concern that Yuschenko is hatching a plot to rig the election. It is expected that the President Yuschenko will once again seek to dismiss Ukraine's parliament in July/August and call another round of parliamentary elections in October.

Yanukovych would get 34.7%, Tymoshenko 21.5% if presidential elections in Ukraine were held this Sunday
Saturday June 27, 15:39
Source KyivPost

If presidential elections in Ukraine were held this Sunday, Party of Regions leader Viktor Yanukovych would garner 34.7% of the vote, Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko 21.5%, and Change Front leader Arseniy Yatseniuk 17.6%, according to a public opinion poll conducted by the Kyiv International Sociology Institute in June, the Mirror Weekly (Dzerkalo Tyzhnia) newspaper reported.

Communist Party leader Petro Symonenko would get 5.7%, Verkhovna Rada speaker Volodymyr Lytvyn 3.8%, and President Viktor Yuschenko 3.5% of the vote.

Another 2.2% would give their votes to former President Leonid Kuchma and 2% to Oleh Tiahnybok, the leader of the All-Ukrainian Union 'Freedom'.

Former Defense Minister Anatoliy Hrytsenko would get 1.3%, former National Bank Chairman Serhiy Tihipko 1%, Kyiv Mayor Leonid Chernovetsky 0.6%, Ukrainian People's Party leader Yuriy Kostenko 0.2%, and former State Property Fund head Valentyna Semeniuk-Samsonenko 0.1%.

The other candidates would get in total 2.8%, and 3.1% of the voters would vote against all.

Another 9.5% said they would not cast their ballots and 14.9% are so far undecided whether to go to the polling stations.

The poll also showed that the possible voter turnout would be around 67%.