Poll - Kiev International Institute of Sociology
pubished Feb 9,2006 Poll Date:18-28 January
Link | http://www.kiis.com.ua/eng/doc/09022006/press09022006.doc | |||
Source | Kiev International Institute of Sociology | |||
Date | February 9, 2006 Poll Date: 18-28 January, 2006 | |||
Name of the party or electoral bloc | ||||
PR | Party of Regions (PR) | |||
NS-NU | Bloc 'Our Ukraine' (NS-NU) | |||
BYuT | Yuliya Tymoshenko Bloc (BYuT) | |||
KPU | Communist Party of Ukraine (KPU) | |||
SPU | Socialist Party of Ukraine (SPU) | |||
LPB | Lytvyn's People's Bloc (LPB) | |||
NVB | Nataliya Vitrenko Bloc 'People's Opposition' (NVB) | |||
CBP | Civil Bloc PORA-PRP' (CBP) | |||
GRN | Green Party (Grn) | |||
UPBKP | Ukrainian People's Bloc of Kostenko and Plyusch | |||
OBNY | Oppositional bloc NOT YES! (OBNY) | |||
Party Block | Poll% | Vote% | Seats% | No of Seats |
PR | 29.90% | 39.08% | 42.78% | 192 |
NS-NU | 18.50% | 24.18% | 26.47% | 119 |
BYuT | 10.40% | 13.59% | 14.88% | 67 |
KPU | 4.50% | 5.88% | 6.44% | 29 |
SPU | 4.00% | 5.23% | 5.72% | 26 |
LPB | 2.60% | 3.40% | 3.72% | 17 |
NVB | 1.30% | 1.70% | ||
CBP | 0.70% | 0.92% | ||
GRN | 0.60% | 0.78% | ||
UPBKP | 0.50% | 0.65% | ||
OBNY | 0.50% | 0.65% | ||
Others | 3.00% | 3.92% | ||
Sum | 76.50% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 450 |
Undecided | 13.50% | |||
Balance | 10.00% | |||
Summary | 100.00% |
This poll was the most comprehensive in terms of the provision of result data.
Democracy alive and well in Ukraine - Ukrainians value their vote.
Whilst all published polls differ considerably what is clear is that democracy in Ukraine is alive and well with between 76.5% and 90% intending to vote. This is far greater then in the United States where only 40-50% of the adult population vote.
The Lytvyn block with 17 seats would hold the potential balance of any outcome
This poll shows that there is an undecided vote of 13.5% which could change the outcome of the election and the balance of power in the formation of any coalition or alliance.
This poll has Pora well below the 3% equal +/- 0.1% to the Green Party.
8.63% of voters who vote for minor parties will be disenfranchised with their vote not being considered in determining the results of the election. With a preferential ballot system these votes would be redistributed according to voters nominated preferences.
http://ukraine2006election.blogspot.com
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