Monday, February 06, 2006

Poll - Sociological Research Centre

Feb 6 www.For-ua.com

Linkhttp://en.for-ua.com/news/2006/02/06/153854.html
SourceSociological Research Centre
DateFebruary 6,2006
Name of the party or electoral bloc
PRParty of Regions (PR)
NS-NUBloc 'Our Ukraine' (NS-NU)
BYuTYuliya Tymoshenko Bloc (BYuT)
KPUCommunist Party of Ukraine (KPU)
SPUSocialist Party of Ukraine (SPU)
LPBLytvyn's People's Bloc (LPB)
NVBNataliya Vitrenko Bloc 'People's Opposition' (NVB)
CBPCivil Bloc PORA-PRP' (CBP)
UPBKPUkrainian People's Bloc of Kostenko and Plyusch
OBNYOppositional bloc NOT YES! (OBNY)
Party Block Poll%Vote%Seats%No of Seats
PR26.30%32.07%33.42%150
NS-NU10.70%13.05%13.60%61
BYuT18.90%23.05%24.02%108
KPU4.20%5.12%5.34%24
SPU6.70%8.17%8.51%38
LPB2.90%3.54%3.68%17
NVB6.30%7.68%8.01%36
CBP2.70%3.29%3.43%15
UPBKP0.00%0.00%
OBNY2.30%2.80%
Others1.00%1.22%
Sum 82.00%100.00%100.00%450
Informal0.00%
not vote0.00%
no response0.00%
Balance Unknown18.00%
Summary Stats100.00%



The quality of this poll as reported on For-ua is highly questionable. We have published it here only because we want to provide a complete and consistent collection of as many polls as possible. We have tried to locate the source of this poll but have been unsuccessful. Clearly any poll is subject to manipulation in order to create confusion and mis-information. In the absence of clarfication we casn not be sure if the problem is with the source to the publiciation. The vote allocated to Lytvyn for example appears to be reverse with the Nataliya Vitrenko Bloc as is the BYut/Our Ukraine vote (Other Polls indicate signiicant variance btewweb the BYuT and Our Ukraine). See above for copy of orginal post on For-ua.

Please Note: The poll has an undisclosed balance of 18.0% If this balance is infact allocated to minor Parties then the LPB and CBP Bloc's would not achieve the minimum 3% requirement, in which case their allocated 32 seats would be redistributed and the extent of wasted vote would exceed 23.6%. Ideally the poll should publish more information as to the outstanding balance and if the nominated percentage is the percentage of voters who will be casting a valid vote or it is a percentage of those polled.

Additional information that would assist in the analysis of the vote would be a copy of the questions asked and geopoltical statisical data (ie a breaks down of the number of respondents from each oblast)Without this information each poll is like comparing apples with oranges. With the quailty of each orchard grove varing significantly in output.

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