The Parliament must meet within 2 weeks from the offial publication date and then they have 30 days to form a coalition. Should a coalition not be able to be formed the President has the right to call for fresh elections. The holding of fresh elections is unlikely as the political fall out and costs is considerable. It is most likely that an Orange coalition of convenience will be formed in the first instance. With the passage of time (12 months) The President's party Our Ukraine' may withdraw from the coalition causing a constitutional crises and justification for the President to call fresh elections. With the election over Ukraine is expected to undergo major economic changes in the near future. Local prices will rise and inflation will continue in the double digits as Ukraine's economy begins to suffer. If the President, Our Ukraine and the Party of Regions can successfully focus the blame on to Yulia Tymoshenko's block then A fresh election in 12 months would be to their advantage. Big issues will be the increase in the cost of living, economic changes required for Ukraine to join the WTO, NATO and possible future EU membership.
Another alternative is that coalition negoitions break down with Our Ukraine spititting and agreeing to form a coalition with Party of Regions. There only needs to be a shift of 12 to 13 votes for their to be a change in government.
|Source||CEC Final Results|
|Date||April 27, 2006 Poll Date: March 26, 2006|
|Name of the party or electoral bloc|
|PR||Party of Regions (PR)|
|NS-NU||Bloc 'Our Ukraine' (NS-NU)|
|BYuT||Yuliya Tymoshenko Bloc (BYuT)|
|KPU||Communist Party of Ukraine (KPU)|
|SPU||Socialist Party of Ukraine (SPU)|
|LPB||Lytvyn's People's Bloc (LPB)|
|NVB||Nataliya Vitrenko Bloc 'People's Opposition' (NVB)|
|CBP||Civil Bloc PORA-PRP' (CBP)|
|UPBKP||Ukrainian People's Bloc of Kostenko and Plyusch|
|OBNY||Oppositional bloc NOT YES! (OBNY)|
|Party Block||Poll%||Vote%||Seats%||No of Seats|