Progressive Public Polling Data

19 April 2007 to the 15 June 2007

By Online Editor -
The table below records recent public opinion polling results since the start of the current political crisis.

The data below shows Our Ukraine and People's Self-Defence party as separate entries. If the two party's combine it is difficult to know at this stage  what percentage of the People's Self-Defence party will stay with the alliance.

Clearly the battle ground is focused on the various split within the socialist's movement. If the People's Self-Defence Party is added to the Our Ukraine Vote then Yulia Tymoshenko will once again be the bride's maid and not the bride.

The published polls are yet to redistribute the Lytvyn party bloc (1.2%) which recently announced it was not going to contest the September election.


 
 
Date 15/06/2007 29/05/2007 7/05/2007 24/04/2007 23/04/2007 19/04/2007
Poll Ukrainian Barometer Sofia Social Studies FOM-Ukraine Kyiv International Sociology Institute FOM-Ukraine Kiev-based International Institute of Sociology
PoR 34.0% 35.6% 30.0% 35.5% 29.1% 35.9%
BYuT 20.3% 16.8% 17.0% 19.6% 15.5% 20.9%
OU * 11.0% 9.0% 9.0% 12.9% 10.3% 11.6%
CPU 3.9% 4.6% 3.7% 4.2% 4.0% 3.4%
PSD * 4.8% 3.6% 3.9% 3.7% 2.1% 2.1%
NVB 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 1.8% 1.5% 1.5%
LB 0.0% 1.7% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 1.4%
SPU 2.0% 2.8% 1.8% 1.2% 1.5% 1.5%
UP 0.0% 1.0% 1.2%
  78.7% 76.9% 67.4% 81.8% 65.3% 78.3%
>=3% 74.0% 69.6% 63.6% 75.9% 58.8% 71.8%
Percentage of the vote
PoR 43.2% 46.3% 44.5% 43.4% 44.5% 45.8%
BYuT 25.8% 21.8% 25.2% 24.0% 23.7% 26.7%
OU 14.0% 11.7% 13.4% 15.8% 15.8% 14.8%
CPU 5.0% 6.0% 5.5% 5.1% 6.0% 4.3%
PSD 6.1% 4.7% 5.8% 4.5% 3.2% 2.7%
NVB 3.4% 2.3% 1.2% 2.2% 2.3% 1.9%
LB 0.0% 2.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 1.8%
SPU 2.5% 3.6% 2.7% 1.5% 2.3% 1.9%
UP 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
  100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Percentage of the Seats
PoR 45.9% 51.1% 47.2% 46.8% 49.4% 50.0%
BYuT 27.4% 24.1% 26.7% 25.8% 26.4% 29.1%
OU 14.9% 12.9% 14.2% 17.0% 17.5% 16.2%
CPU 5.3% 6.6% 5.8% 5.5% 6.7% 4.7%
PSD 6.5% 5.2% 6.1% 4.9%
NVB
LB
SPU
UP
  100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
No of Seats
PoR 207 230 212 210 222 225
BYuT 123 109 120 116 119 131
OU 67 58 64 76 79 73
CPU 24 30 26 25 30 21
PSD 29 23 28 22 0 0
NVB
LB
SPU
UP
  450 450 450 450 450 450
 
 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Dissecting the vote: Zakarpattia and Ternopil

By Online Editor -
Two interesting outcomes in the final round vote that have not been widely discussed in the English media is the outcome in Zakarpattia and Ternopil. We are not sure if it has been been discussed in the Ukrainian media 1. Viktor Yanukovych was the highest polling candidate in Zakarpattiia previsoully Our Ukraine/Yushchenko were the highest. (See 2004,2006 and 2007 election results ) District 74 місто Берегове (Beregove - a Hungarian community located near the border) 2. The other interesting observation is that Yanukovych actually went backwards between the first round and the second round in Ternopiil.  In the first round Yanukovych received 6354 (0.26% of the national vote) in the second final round, with less number of candidates, Yanukovych recorded only 5370 (0.21% of the national vote)  Why Yanukovych went backwards in the second round is any ones guess but we think this  would make interesting reading.
<Additional Information>

Averting a Post-Orange Disaster - Andreas Umland

By Online Editor -
"As Ukraine's economic, social and political crisis sharpens, more and more Ukrainians may question the wisdom of conducting a costly presidential election when the Ukrainian state is almost bankrupt--if not on the brink of collapse." Constitutional Reforms and Political Stability in Ukraine by Dr. Andreas Umland Source: Harvard International Review June, 2009 After several years of impressive economic growth and encouraging political change, Ukraine has recently entered troubled waters. The democracies west of Ukraine are institutionally consolidated and internationally embedded enough to circumscribe the political repercussions of their so far relatively mild economic contractions. While being hit almost as hard as Ukraine by the world financial crisis, Russia has managed to build considerable financial reserves thanks to the enormous cash inflow into her state budget during the years of rocketing energy prices, allowing her to soften the social repercussions of the eco...
<Additional Information>

History repeats: Victor Yushchenko interferes with Ukraine's judicial process.

By Online Editor -
The Kyiv Administrative court has issued a injunction suspending the Presidents decree dismissing Ukraine's democratically elected parliament. In what is reminiscent of events unfolded last year, Victor Yushchenko has again interfered with the independence of Ukraine's judiciary . In April 2007 the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe ( PACE ) passed a resolution in consideration of a report titled Functioning of democratic institutions in Ukraine . (Items 13 and 14) stated: “The Assembly deplores the fact that the judicial system of Ukraine has been systematically misused by other branches of power and that top officials do not execute the courts’ decisions, which is a sign of erosion of this crucial democratic institution. An independent and impartial judiciary is a precondition for the existence of a democratic society governed by the rule of law." The associated explanatory report under the sub-heading of Pressure on the courts expressed concern that ...
<Additional Information>