Friday, June 22, 2007

Progressive Public Polling Data

19 April 2007 to the 15 June 2007

The table below records recent public opinion polling results since the start of the current political crisis.

The data below shows Our Ukraine and People's Self-Defence party as separate entries. If the two party's combine it is difficult to know at this stage  what percentage of the People's Self-Defence party will stay with the alliance.

Clearly the battle ground is focused on the various split within the socialist's movement. If the People's Self-Defence Party is added to the Our Ukraine Vote then Yulia Tymoshenko will once again be the bride's maid and not the bride.

The published polls are yet to redistribute the Lytvyn party bloc (1.2%) which recently announced it was not going to contest the September election.


 
 
Date 15/06/2007 29/05/2007 7/05/2007 24/04/2007 23/04/2007 19/04/2007
Poll Ukrainian Barometer Sofia Social Studies FOM-Ukraine Kyiv International Sociology Institute FOM-Ukraine Kiev-based International Institute of Sociology
PoR 34.0% 35.6% 30.0% 35.5% 29.1% 35.9%
BYuT 20.3% 16.8% 17.0% 19.6% 15.5% 20.9%
OU * 11.0% 9.0% 9.0% 12.9% 10.3% 11.6%
CPU 3.9% 4.6% 3.7% 4.2% 4.0% 3.4%
PSD * 4.8% 3.6% 3.9% 3.7% 2.1% 2.1%
NVB 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 1.8% 1.5% 1.5%
LB 0.0% 1.7% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 1.4%
SPU 2.0% 2.8% 1.8% 1.2% 1.5% 1.5%
UP 0.0% 1.0% 1.2%
  78.7% 76.9% 67.4% 81.8% 65.3% 78.3%
>=3% 74.0% 69.6% 63.6% 75.9% 58.8% 71.8%
Percentage of the vote
PoR 43.2% 46.3% 44.5% 43.4% 44.5% 45.8%
BYuT 25.8% 21.8% 25.2% 24.0% 23.7% 26.7%
OU 14.0% 11.7% 13.4% 15.8% 15.8% 14.8%
CPU 5.0% 6.0% 5.5% 5.1% 6.0% 4.3%
PSD 6.1% 4.7% 5.8% 4.5% 3.2% 2.7%
NVB 3.4% 2.3% 1.2% 2.2% 2.3% 1.9%
LB 0.0% 2.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 1.8%
SPU 2.5% 3.6% 2.7% 1.5% 2.3% 1.9%
UP 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
  100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Percentage of the Seats
PoR 45.9% 51.1% 47.2% 46.8% 49.4% 50.0%
BYuT 27.4% 24.1% 26.7% 25.8% 26.4% 29.1%
OU 14.9% 12.9% 14.2% 17.0% 17.5% 16.2%
CPU 5.3% 6.6% 5.8% 5.5% 6.7% 4.7%
PSD 6.5% 5.2% 6.1% 4.9%
NVB
LB
SPU
UP
  100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
No of Seats
PoR 207 230 212 210 222 225
BYuT 123 109 120 116 119 131
OU 67 58 64 76 79 73
CPU 24 30 26 25 30 21
PSD 29 23 28 22 0 0
NVB
LB
SPU
UP
  450 450 450 450 450 450
 
 

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