Saturday, November 28, 2009

Poll: Yanukovych set to win in second round

50 days to go and Yanukovych is set to win the second round of voting with over 50% of the vote

According to the lastest Research and Branding electoral poll also published on KyivPost

Under Ukraine's flawed first-past-the-post voting system only the two highest polling candidates progress to the second round of voting. Yushchenko still remains the biggest loser stuck on 3.5% Lytvyn is holding ground doubling his last months rating. Yatseniuk is dropping by the week but still remains in third place ten percentage points below Tymoshenko.

On a  two candidate preferred basis Yanukovych is on 47.4% to Tymoshenko 28.1%   - adjusted for the expected turn out (87%) Yanukovych wins over 50% of the vote


Candidate
Nov
Oct
Swing
V. Yanukovich
32.40%
31.00%
1.4%
Y. Timoshenko
16.30%
18.40%
-2.1%
A. Yatsenyuk
6.10%
9.60%
-3.5%
V. Litvin
4.50%
2.30%
2.2%
S. Tigipko
4.40%
3.50%
0.9%
P. Simonenko
3.80%
3.50%
0.3%
V. Yuschenko
3.50%
3.50%
0.0%


At a cost of over 1 billion dollars Ukraine would have been much better off if the parliament had elected the next head of state.  Another failure of Yushchenko.

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