Insider polling
Analysis: by Adrian Karatnycky
New Atlanticist Policy and Analysis
The Atlantic Council, Wash, D.C., Fri, 15 January 2010
NEW YORK - Ukraine votes in the first round of presidential elections on Sunday, January 17th.
Ukraine does not permit the release of polling data in the two weeks prior to the contest. But I have obtained reliable polling data from colleagues, based on polling conducted last week for internal use by campaign officials, which suggests that Viktor Yanukovych leads incumbent Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko by 8 to 10 percent, a narrowing from two weeks ago, when Yanuokvych led by 12 to 15 percent:
UkrToday Comment: The above insider poll is within expectations (+/- 2%). It shows a win for Yanukovych and Tymoshenko with both main players shoring up their vote in the last two weeks and a dramatic loss of support for Yushchenko
Incumbent President Viktor Yushchenko, the vastly unpopular head of state and failed leader of the "Orange revolution" of 2004, will struggle to reach 5 percent support and may finish as low as 5th.
New Atlanticist Policy and Analysis
The Atlantic Council, Wash, D.C., Fri, 15 January 2010
NEW YORK - Ukraine votes in the first round of presidential elections on Sunday, January 17th.
Ukraine does not permit the release of polling data in the two weeks prior to the contest. But I have obtained reliable polling data from colleagues, based on polling conducted last week for internal use by campaign officials, which suggests that Viktor Yanukovych leads incumbent Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko by 8 to 10 percent, a narrowing from two weeks ago, when Yanuokvych led by 12 to 15 percent:
| Candidate |
Support |
| Viktor Yanukovych |
34.00% |
| Yulia Tymoshenko |
24.50% |
| Serhiy Tihipko |
12.50% |
| Arseniy Yatsenyuk |
6.50% |
| Viktor Yushchenko |
5.50% |
| Petro Symonenko |
4.00% |
| Volodymyr Lytvyn |
3.50% |
| Oleh Tyahnybok |
2.00% |
| Anatoliy Hrytsenko |
1.00% |
| Others (Against All) |
6.50% |
| sum |
100.00% |
UkrToday Comment: The above insider poll is within expectations (+/- 2%). It shows a win for Yanukovych and Tymoshenko with both main players shoring up their vote in the last two weeks and a dramatic loss of support for Yushchenko
Incumbent President Viktor Yushchenko, the vastly unpopular head of state and failed leader of the "Orange revolution" of 2004, will struggle to reach 5 percent support and may finish as low as 5th.
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