Monday, March 27, 2006

Post Election

Yanukovych claims victory as Yushchenko is seen as the looser

Viktor Yanukovych Party of Regions with an estimated 34% of the votes have declared victory in the March 26 Ukrainian Parliamentary elections.

This would translate into roughly 44% of the seats of Parliament under the rules related to the allocation of seats.

Whilst Yanukovych does not yet hold an absolute majority of seats he is well placed to try and form a workable majority. It is still possible for the Orange Coalition to form a government with the support of Lytvyn Block but if this happens it will be a weak coalition with the Government requiring the support of a loose alliance.

A n umber of observers are calling on Viktor Yanukovich or Yulia Tymoshenko to support a coalition with Party of Regions. If this was possible and it is a bog IF then Ukraine would be able to form a stable government which would see it regain economic growth and confidence.

In spit Yanokvic's victory statement it is still early days and much horse trading will go on between now and the formation of the Government which is not expected until early May.

Source Sotsinform (Social Information) Exit Poll
Date February 23, 2006

Name of the party or electoral bloc
PR Party of Regions (PR)
NS-NU Bloc 'Our Ukraine' (NS-NU)
BYuT Yuliya Tymoshenko Bloc (BYuT)
KPU Communist Party of Ukraine (KPU)
SPU Socialist Party of Ukraine (SPU)
LPB Lytvyn's People's Bloc (LPB)
NVB Nataliya Vitrenko Bloc 'People's Opposition' (NVB)
CBP Civil Bloc PORA-PRP' (CBP)
GRN Green Party (Grn)
UPBKP Ukrainian People's Bloc of Kostenko and Plyusch
OBNY Oppositional bloc NOT YES! (OBNY)

Party Block Poll% Vote% Seats% No of Seats
PR 32.73% 37.84% 44.10% 198 212
NS-NU 13.27% 15.34% 15.62% 70 219
BYuT 22.31% 25.80% 28.86% 130
KPU 4.62% 5.34% 2.96% 13
SPU 5.41% 6.25% 4.11% 19
LPB 5.01% 5.80% 3.54% 16
NVB 3.15% 3.64% 0.81% 4

Sum 86.50% 100.00% 100.00% 450
Undecided 10.50%
Balance 7.40%
Summary 100.00%