Wednesday, March 29, 2006

Results and Analysis of Seat Allocation

as of 12PM Wednesday March 29: Two Methods listed

There is some confusion as to if the initial 3% threshold in the seat allocation is included.  I previously included the 3% on my calculations but when I read the article on Wikipdeia I was understood that the 3% was excluded in the calculation.  It does make some sense to discount this percentage ( I personally do not support thresholds but that is another issue).
 
In the absence of a clear indication as to the rules that apply I have published both methods.
 
I again wish to express concern that 22% of voters who supported minor parties have been disenfranchised. Had a system of preferential voting been adopted these voters would have had their vote allocated according to their expressed preference. Under the current system major Party votes are inflated dis-proportionately to the voters choice and intention.
 
This is an issue that Ukraine should seriously review and consideration should be given to adopting a system of preferential voting.  (It would save Ukraine 100's of millions of dollars in direct and indirect costs - in particular with the conduct of the Presidential elections)
 
 
 
Method One.
Seat Allocation (Discounting the 3% threshold)
 
http://www.cvk.gov.ua/vnd2006/w6p001e.html
Source Offical results as of 12:00PM   95% counted
Date March 29, 2006 Poll Date: March 26, 2006
Name of the party or electoral bloc
PR Party of Regions (PR)
BYuT Yuliya Tymoshenko Bloc (BYuT)
NS-NU Bloc 'Our Ukraine' (NS-NU)
SPU Socialist Party of Ukraine (SPU)
KPU Communist Party of Ukraine (KPU)
NVB Nataliya Vitrenko Bloc 'People's Opposition' (NVB)
LPB Lytvyn's People's Bloc (LPB)
VICHE Viche Party
UPBKP Ukrainian People's Bloc of Kostenko and Plyusch
CBP Civil Bloc PORA-PRP' (CBP)
OBNY Oppositional bloc NOT YES! (OBNY)
Party Block Poll% Vote% Seats% No of Seats
PR 31,50% 31,50% 45,43% 204
BYuT 22,40% 22,40% 30,93% 139
NS-NU 14,35% 14,35% 18,09% 81
SPU 5,84% 5,84% 4,53% 20
KPU 3,64% 3,64% 1,02% 5
NVB 2,78% 2,78%  
LPB 2,45% 2,45%  
VICHE 1,68% 1,68%  
UPBKP 1,95% 1,95%  
CBP 1,48% 1,48%  
OBNY 0,98% 0,98%  
Others 10,95% 10,95%  
 
Sum 100,00% 100,00% 100,00% 450
Undecided 0,00%
Balance 0,00%
Summary 100,00%      
 
 
 
Method Two.
Seat Allocation (3% threshold included in allocation)
 
http://www.cvk.gov.ua/vnd2006/w6p001e.html
Source Offical results as of 12:00PM   95% counted
Date March 29, 2006 Poll Date: March 26, 2006
Name of the party or electoral bloc
PR Party of Regions (PR)
BYuT Yuliya Tymoshenko Bloc (BYuT)
NS-NU Bloc 'Our Ukraine' (NS-NU)
SPU Socialist Party of Ukraine (SPU)
KPU Communist Party of Ukraine (KPU)
NVB Nataliya Vitrenko Bloc 'People's Opposition' (NVB)
LPB Lytvyn's People's Bloc (LPB)
VICHE Viche Party
UPBKP Ukrainian People's Bloc of Kostenko and Plyusch
CBP Civil Bloc PORA-PRP' (CBP)
OBNY Oppositional bloc NOT YES! (OBNY)
Party Block Poll% Vote% Seats% No of Seats
PR 31,50% 31,50% 40,52% 182
BYuT 22,40% 22,40% 28,82% 130
NS-NU 14,35% 14,35% 18,46% 83
SPU 5,84% 5,84% 7,51% 34
KPU 3,64% 3,64% 4,68% 21
NVB 2,78% 2,78%  
LPB 2,45% 2,45%  
VICHE 1,68% 1,68%  
UPBKP 1,95% 1,95%  
CBP 1,48% 1,48%  
OBNY 0,98% 0,98%  
Others 10,95% 10,95%  
 
Sum 100,00% 100,00% 100,00% 450
Undecided 0,00%
Balance 0,00%
Summary 100,00%      

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